Nearly 200 countries are negotiating in Antalya as health-adaptation funding falls. The AIR initiative began without published money, staff or participants; Belém's framework maps sources but creates no new fund.
IFAD's severe-event model combines agricultural and infrastructure damage with global effects through prices, trade and demand. WMO expects the current event to amplify heat and extremes into 2027.
The summit must turn earlier promises into action on fossil fuels, electrification and finance. Renewable growth offers real momentum, but the United States is absent and warming is already around 1.4°C.